Trends in Emergency Care Provided by Non-Physician Providers and Physicians: 2009–2021

Trends in Emergency Care Provided by Non-Physician Providers and Physicians: 2009–2021

Summer Ghaith, Cameron Gettel, Megan McElhinny, Aidan F. Mullan, Molly M. Jeffery, Rachel A. Lindor
Academic Emergency Medicine, August 8, 2025

🩺 Clinical Relevance

  • NPPs are managing a growing proportion of ED visits—including moderate-to-high acuity cases.

  • This shift is broad but especially pronounced in rural settings where staffing challenges persist.

  • Implications for training, supervision, and quality assurance should be considered, particularly as NPPs take on more complex cases.

🔍 Study Overview

  • Data source: National Hospital Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (2009–2021)

  • Objective: Assess how the EM workforce composition has changed, focusing on physician vs. non-physician provider (NPP) care (PAs and NPs).

  • Visit types categorized as:

    • Physician only

    • Physician + resident

    • Physician + NPP

    • NPP only

📊 Key Findings

  • ED visit totals (2009–2021):

    • Total estimated: 1.684 billion

    • Physician only: 1.171 billion (↓ from 77% to 62%)

    • Physician + resident: 136.3 million

    • Physician + NPP: 209.1 million (↑ from 9% to 17%)

    • NPP only: 167.4 million (↑ from 6% to 11%)

  • Acuity shift:

    • Even “emergent” (Level 2) patients increasingly seen by NPPs.

      • Physician-only visits ↓ by 20%

      • Physician + NPP ↑ by 13%

      • NPP-only ↑ by 3%

  • Geographic patterns:

    • Urban areas:

      • Physician-only visits ↓ by 14%

      • NPP-only visits ↑ by 5%

    • Rural/non-metro areas:

      • Physician-only visits ↓ by 17%

      • NPP-only visits ↑ by 9%

  • Patient characteristics:

    • Patients seen by physicians only were older, had higher acuity, longer ED stays, and higher admission rates.

    • NPP-only visits tended to be for lower acuity and shorter encounters but are increasingly managing higher-acuity patients.

Ghaith, S., Gettel, C., McElhinny, M., Mullan, A.F., Jeffery, M.M. and Lindor, R.A., 2025. Trends in Emergency Care Provided by Non‐Physician Providers and Physicians: 2009–2021. Academic Emergency Medicine.

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